Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.