Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Dimarco (40'), Barella (53'), Thuram (66')
Dimarco (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Darmian (81' og.)
Keita (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Parma
70.19% ( 0.07)	17.85% ( -0.06)	11.96% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 50.18% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.73% (

0.22)

40.27% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.35% (

0.23)

62.65% (

-0.23)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.7% (

0.08)

10.3% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.29% (

0.18)

33.71% (

-0.18)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.94% (

0.12)

44.06% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

0.09)

80.17% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 70.18%

Parma 11.96%

Draw 17.85%

Inter Milan	Draw	Parma
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.34% Total : 70.18%	1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.85%	0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.96%