Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Benjamin Pavard 11' yellowcard
  • Castello Lukeba 27' goal
  • Alessandro Bastoni 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 34'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 70'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 85'

Inter Milan vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 6, 2024 8.00pm
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Arsenal

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 5, 2024 8.00pm
Celtic 3 - 1 RB Leipzig

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 52.57% (+0.26)
Draw 22.85% (-0.08)
RB Leipzig 24.57% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.41% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.2% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 41.8% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 35.8% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 64.2% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 18.86% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.13% (-0.13)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.06% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 15.94% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 54.79% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 45.21% (-0.27)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 69.48% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.51% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 33.26% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.73% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 52.57%
Draw 22.85%
RB Leipzig 24.57%
Inter Milan
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.2% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.96% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-97.90)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.85%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.57%