Serie A Gameweek 18
AC Milan
Dec 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Tijjani Reijnders 16' goal
  • Paulo Fonseca 40' yellowcard
  • Paulo Fonseca 43' redcard
  • Theo Hernandez 43' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Morata 44' yellowcard
  • Tijjani Reijnders 82' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 4'
  • yellowcard Mats Hummels 13'
  • goal Paulo Dybala 23'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 67'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 71'

AC Milan vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 11.30am
Roma 5 - 0 Parma
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Artem Dovbyk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

AC Milan 60.75% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 21.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Roma 17.59% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.71% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.42% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 45.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 32.09% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 67.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 4.5 16.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.86% ▲ (+0.04)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 85.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 14.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 57.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 42.57% ▼ (-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 60.51% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 39.49% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 23.82% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 76.18% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

AC Milan 60.75%
Draw 21.66%
Roma 17.59%
AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.07% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 21.66%
Roma
0-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.59%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Roma
May 31, 2024 12.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT Optus Stadium
AC Milan
  • Tommaso Baldanzi 28' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 45'+2' goal
  • Angelino 54' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 57' goal
  • Sardar Azmoun 77' goal
  • goal Theo Hernandez 37'
  • goal Noah Okafor 55'
Europa League
Roma
Apr 18, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Gianluca Mancini 12' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 22' goal
  • Zeki Celik 31' redcard
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 32'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 46'
  • yellowcard Yacine Adli 51'
  • yellowcard Luka Jovic 77'
  • goal Matteo Gabbia 85'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 89'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+2'
Europa League
AC Milan
Apr 11, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Stefano Pioli 17' yellowcard
  • Christian Pulisic 33' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 63' yellowcard
  • Ruben Loftus-Cheek 73' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Mancini 17'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 38'
Serie A Gameweek 20
AC Milan
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma
  • Yacine Adli 11' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 56' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 71' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 84' goal
  • Matteo Gabbia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 43'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 56'
  • goal Leandro Paredes 69'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 81'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Roma
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Leandro Paredes 69' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 85' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Spinazzola 90'+2' goal
  • goal Olivier Giroud 9'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 19'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 34'
  • goal Rafael Leao 48'
  • redcard Fikayo Tomori 61'
  • yellowcard Noah Okafor 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Roma
Apr 29, 2023 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
AC Milan
  • Tammy Abraham 90'+4' goal
  • goal Alexis Saelemaekers 90'+7'

Form Data

Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa
AC Milan 2 - 1 Red Star
Atalanta 2 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 6 - 1 Sassuolo
AC Milan 3 - 0 Empoli
Roma 5 - 0 Parma
Roma 4 - 1 Sampdoria
Como 2 - 0 Roma
Roma 3 - 0 Braga
Roma 4 - 1 Lecce
Roma 0 - 2 Atalanta