Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Roma

Reijnders (16')
Fonseca (40'), Hernandez (43'), Morata (44'), Reijnders (82'), Gabbia (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (23')
Kone (4'), Hummels (13'), Paredes (67'), Celik (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 5-0 Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Roma
60.75% ( 0.11)	21.66% ( -0.02)	17.59% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

-0.05)

45.58% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

-0.05)

67.91% (

0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.02)

14.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

0.04)

42.57% (

-0.03)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.51% (

-0.14)

39.49% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

-0.13)

76.18% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 60.75%

Roma 17.59%

Draw 21.66%

AC Milan	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.75%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.59%