Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 75.03% ( | 15.78% ( | 9.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( | 38.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( | 61.07% ( |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( | 8.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.91% ( | 30.09% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( | 48.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.56% ( | 83.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 3-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 3-1 @ 7.41% ( 4-0 @ 6.2% ( 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 5-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 6-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.98% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 2-2 @ 3.32% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.78% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.19% |