Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Dec 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
2 - 1
Red Star

Leao (42'), Abraham (87')
Musah (32'), Hernandez (45'), Tomori (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Radonjic (67')
Milojevic (0'), Krunic (33'), Djiga (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Last Game: Red Star 5-1 Stuttgart
Wednesday, November 27 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
58.11% ( 0.04)	20.62% ( 0.09)	21.27% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.85% (

-0.65)

35.15% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.84% (

-0.73)

57.15% (

0.73)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.02% (

-0.19)

11.97% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.61% (

-0.42)

37.38% (

0.41)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.5)

29.61% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.61)

65.64% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 58.11%

Red Star Belgrade 21.27%

Draw 20.62%

AC Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.11%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.27%