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Yunus Musah
32'
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Rafael Leao
42'
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Theo Hernandez
45'
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Fikayo Tomori
79'
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Tammy Abraham
87'
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Vladan Milojevic
0'
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Rade Krunic
33'
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Nemanja Radonjic
67'
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Nasser Djiga
81'
AC Milan vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
AC Milan Goals
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.15)
1-0 @ 7.52% ▲ (+0.20)
3-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 58.11%
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.62%
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 21.27%
Marko Gobeljic
70'