Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Genoa |
| 50.95% ( | 25.29% ( | 23.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( | 74.51% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( | 20.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.71% ( | 37.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.93% ( | 74.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.17% ( 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 23.75% |