Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
0 - 1
AC Milan

Dawidowicz (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Reijnders (56')
Emerson (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Parma 2-3 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
20.88% ( 0.16)	20.62%	58.5% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 61.3% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.26% (

0.23)

35.73% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.19% (

0.26)

57.8% (

-0.26)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

0.28)

30.3% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52% (

0.34)

66.47% (

-0.34)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

0.02)

12.05% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.45% (

0.06)

37.54% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 20.88%

AC Milan 58.5%

Draw 20.62%

Hellas Verona	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 20.88%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.5%