Serie A
Gameweek
17
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-
Pawel Dawidowicz
35'
-
Emerson
25'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
56'
Hellas Verona vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.17%) and 0-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
Hellas Verona
20.88%
▲
(+0.17)
Draw
20.62%
AC Milan
58.5%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
61.3%
▲
(+0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.26%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 2.5
35.73%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 3.5
42.19%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
57.8%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
23.93%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 4.5
76.07%
▼
(-0.22)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5
69.7%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
30.3%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
33.52%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
66.47%
▼
(-0.35)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
87.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
12.05%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
62.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
37.54%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Hellas Verona
20.88%
Draw
20.62%
AC Milan
58.5%
Hellas Verona
2-1
@
5.51%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.88%
1-0 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 20.88%
Draw
1-1
@
9.22%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.62%
2-2 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.62%
AC Milan
1-2
@
9.76%
▼
(-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.5%
0-2 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
1-5 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.5%
Head to Head
Serie A
Gameweek
29
-
Suat Serdar
6'
-
Marco Baroni
7'
-
Tijanni Noslin
64'
-
Fikayo Tomori
30'
-
Theo Hernandez
44'
-
Theo Hernandez
45'
-
Christian Pulisic
50'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
79'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
87'
Serie A
Gameweek
5
-
Rafael Leao
8'
-
Malick Thiaw
24'
-
Yunus Musah
58'
-
Christian Pulisic
76'
-
Alessandro Florenzi
89'
-
Stefano Pioli
69'+69'
-
Davide Faraoni
42'
-
Federico Bonazzoli
55'
Serie A
Gameweek
38
-
Olivier Giroud
45'+2'
-
Rafael Leao
85'
-
Rafael Leao
90'+2'
-
Davide Faraoni
72'
Serie A
Gameweek
10
-
Koray Gunter
19'
-
Miguel Veloso
9'
(OG)
-
Sandro Tonali
81'
Serie A
Gameweek
36
-
Davide Faraoni
38'
-
Davide Faraoni
45'+1'
-
Ivan Ilic
70'
-
Rafael Leao
45'+1'
-
Sandro Tonali
45'+3'
-
Sandro Tonali
50'
-
Alessandro Florenzi
86'
Serie A
Gameweek
8
-
Olivier Giroud
59'
-
Franck Kessie
76'
-
Koray Gunter
78'
-
Fode Ballo-Toure
81'
-
Federico Ceccherini
5'
-
Gianluca Caprari
7'
-
Antonin Barak
24'
-
Nikola Kalinic
25'
-
Nicolo Casale
38'
-
Miguel Veloso
54'