Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Marusic (90+2')
Pedro (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Adli (11'), Beltran (17')
Adli (62'), Adli (63'), Dodo (70'), Mandragora (71'), Adli (90')
Adli (63'), (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 3-1 Real Sociedad
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Torino
Sunday, January 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
34.02% ( -0.62)	27.26% ( -0.02)	38.72% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

0.02)

55.55% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

0.02)

76.72% (

-0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

-0.39)

30.78% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

-0.46)

67.04% (

0.46)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

0.39)

27.91% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

0.49)

63.53% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Lazio 34.02%

Fiorentina 38.72%

Draw 27.25%

Lazio	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.02%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.72%