Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 1
Real Sociedad

Gila (5'), Zaccagni (32'), Castellanos (34')
Rovella (7'), Zaccagni (53')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Barrenetxea (83')
Munoz (12'), Zubimendi (39')
Munoz (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lazio and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Lazio
Sunday, January 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Real Sociedad
32.78% ( -0.05)	27.58% ( -0.01)	39.64% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02% (

0.03)

56.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12% (

0.02)

77.88% (

-0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-0.02)

32.33% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-0.02)

68.84% (

0.02)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

0.05)

28.07% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27% (

0.06)

63.73% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lazio 32.77%

Real Sociedad 39.64%

Draw 27.57%

Lazio	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.77%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.64%