Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 23.8% ( | 26.6% ( | 49.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.34% ( | 57.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.58% ( | 78.42% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.09% ( | 39.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.43% ( | 76.57% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 2-1 @ 5.72% ( 2-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.8% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 13.55% 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-3 @ 4.78% ( 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.6% |