Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.