Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 26.74% ( | 28.31% ( | 44.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.36% ( | 61.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.53% ( | 81.46% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( | 39.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( | 76.18% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( | 27.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( | 62.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.74% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 14% ( 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.76% Total : 44.94% |