La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
5 - 1
Sevilla

Lewandowski (24' pen., 39'), Pedri (28'), Torre (82', 88')
Fati (74')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Idumbo (87')
Pedrosa (45+4'), Sow (85')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Betis
Sunday, October 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Sevilla
68.03% ( -3.83)	17.54% ( 1.51)	14.43% ( 2.32)

Both teams to score 59.08% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.53% (

-1.7)

32.47% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.89% (

-2)

54.11% (

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.26% (

-1.23)

8.74% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.95% (

-3.09)

30.04% (

3.09)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

2.14)

35.26% (

-2.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98% (

2.17)

72.02% (

-2.17)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 68.03%

Sevilla 14.43%

Draw 17.54%

Barcelona	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.45) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.73) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.38) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.51) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.22) Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.03%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.54%	1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.56) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.45) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.27) Other @ 2.31% Total : 14.43%