Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.