La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 3
Barcelona

Tenaglia (31'), Mourino (54')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Lewandowski (7', 7', 22', 32')
Martinez (53'), Martin Langreo (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, September 28 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 5-0 Young Boys
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
28.29% ( -0.82)	25.14% ( 0.25)	46.57% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 54.12% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51% (

-1.57)

49% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

-1.43)

71.09% (

1.43)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-1.41)

31.44% (

1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-1.66)

67.81% (

1.66)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

-0.4)

21.07% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.12% (

-0.62)

53.88% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Alaves 28.29%

Barcelona 46.57%

Draw 25.14%

Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.57%