Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.44%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.1%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.