Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for CD Ciudad de Lucena had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.02%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.9%), while for a CD Ciudad de Lucena win it was 1-0 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.