La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 1
Leganes

Sorloth (69', 90+9'), Griezmann (81')
Lenglet (30'), Galan (73'), Griezmann (89'), De Paul (90+8'), Simeone (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neyou (34')
Cisse (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 0-0 Valencia
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 17.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Leganes
58.74% ( -0.18)	24.01% ( 0.02)	17.25% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 44.15% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.62% (

0.14)

55.38% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.42% (

0.11)

76.58% (

-0.11)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-0.02)

18.67% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

-0.03)

50% (

0.03)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.29% (

0.28)

45.71% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.5% (

0.22)

81.49% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.73%

Leganes 17.25%

Draw 24.01%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Leganes
1-0 @ 14.32% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 58.73%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.25%