Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Leganes |
| 39.63% ( | 29.63% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.51% ( | 83.49% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( | 68.19% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% ( | 74.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0-0 @ 12% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.62% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-2 @ 5.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.73% |