La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Alaves

Sivera (80' og.)
Lopez (49'), Chavarria (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (50'), Diarra (67'), Guridi (77'), Jordan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 20 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 2-3 Valladolid
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Alaves
47.4% ( 0.15)	28.35% ( 0.02)	24.25% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 42.01% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.9% (

-0.15)

63.1% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.46% (

-0.11)

82.54% (

0.11)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

0.01)

26.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

62.14% (

-0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.42% (

-0.25)

42.58% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.07% (

-0.21)

78.93% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 47.4%

Alaves 24.25%

Draw 28.34%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 47.4%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.25%