La Liga Gameweek 11
Rayo Vallecano
Oct 26, 2024 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves
  • Abdul Mumin 22' redcard
  • Unai Lopez 49' yellowcard
  • Antonio Sivera 80' goal
  • Pep Chavarria 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 50'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 67'
  • yellowcard Jon Guridi 77'
  • yellowcard Joan Jordan 88'

Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 1.00pm
Mallorca 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jorge de Frutos

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2024 8.00pm
Alaves 2 - 3 Valladolid
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 47.4% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 28.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Alaves 24.25% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.01% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.9% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 63.1% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 17.46% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 82.54% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 4.5 6.92% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 93.08% ▲ (+0.06)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 73.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.14% ▼ (-0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 57.42% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 42.58% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 21.07% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 78.93% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 47.4%
Draw 28.34%
Alaves 24.25%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 15.03% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 47.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.42% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.34%
Alaves
0-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.25%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 28
Alaves
Mar 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano
  • Abdel Abqar 28' yellowcard
  • Andoni Gorosabel 44' goal
  • Antonio Blanco 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Isi 13'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Espino 30'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves
  • Aridane Hernandez 19' yellowcard
  • Isi 43' goal
  • Jorge de Frutos 82' goal
  • Raul de Tomas 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 23'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Sola 41'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Alaves
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
  • Gonzalo Escalante 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Joselu 64' goal
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Randy Nteka 55'
  • redcard Ivan Balliu 88'
  • yellowcard Nikola Maras 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Isi 90'+8'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
Dec 18, 2021 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Alaves
  • Oscar Trejo 10' yellowcard
  • Sergi Guardiola 19' goal
  • Alejandro Catena 26' goal
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 24'
  • yellowcard Tachi 70'
La Liga Gameweek 21
Alaves
Jan 28, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Rayo Vallecano
  • Guillermo Maripan 57' yellowcard
  • Fernando Pacheco 84' yellowcard
  • goal Raul de Tomas 47'
  • yellowcard Alex Moreno 69'
  • yellowcard Giannelli Imbula 84'
  • yellowcard Santiago Comesana 85'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Medran 89'
  • yellowcard Bebe 90'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 22, 2018 12.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 2
FT
Alaves
  • Raul de Tomas 30' goal
  • Abdoulaye Ba 35' redcard
  • Giannelli Imbula 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ximo Navarro 8'
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 23'
  • goal Ibai Gomez 34'
  • goal Jonathan Calleri 56'
  • goal Ibai Gomez 77'
  • yellowcard Martin Aguirregabiria 83'
  • goal Burgui 90'

Form Data

Mallorca 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid 1 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Leganes
Girona 0 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Atletico
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 1 Osasuna
Alaves 2 - 3 Valladolid
Alaves 0 - 3 Barcelona
Getafe 2 - 0 Alaves
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 1 Sevilla
Espanyol 3 - 2 Alaves