La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 20, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Iberoamericano 2010

Mallorca
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Muriqi (75')
Morlanes (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mumin (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mallorca in this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
35.69% ( -0.07)	30.1% ( -0.11)	34.21% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 41.86% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.58% (

0.35)

65.42% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.82% (

0.24)

84.18% (

-0.25)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.21% (

0.14)

34.79% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.48% (

0.15)

71.52% (

-0.16)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

0.32)

35.8% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

0.32)

72.57% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Mallorca 35.68%

Rayo Vallecano 34.21%

Draw 30.09%

Mallorca	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.68%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.09%	0-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 34.21%