La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Ilias Akhomach 38' goal
  • Sergi Cardona 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 81' goal
  • Santi Comesana 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 62'
  • yellowcard Carlos Martin 74'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Tenaglia 83'

Villarreal vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 1.00pm
Valladolid 1 - 2 Villarreal
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Ayoze Perez

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2024 8.00pm
Alaves 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result

Villarreal 46.18% (+0.38)
Draw 24.5% (-0.16)
Alaves 29.32% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.93% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.37% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 45.62% (-0.59)
Over 3.5 32.05% (+0.56)
Under 3.5 67.95% (-0.56)
Over 4.5 16.11% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 83.89% (-0.40)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 80.14% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 19.86% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 48.04% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 51.96% (-0.65)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 28.96% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 35.15% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 64.85% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Villarreal 46.18%
Draw 24.5%
Alaves 29.32%
Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.05% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.03% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.64% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.5%
Alaves
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 29.32%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Samu Omorodion 25' goal
  • Luis Garcia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Cuenca 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 44'
  • yellowcard Alexander Sorloth 71'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
  • Alfonso Pedraza 9' yellowcard
  • Alexander Sorloth 23' yellowcard
  • Kiko Femenia 35' yellowcard
  • Santi Comesana 58' yellowcard
  • Gerard Moreno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Ander Guevara 14'
  • yellowcard Antonio Sivera 33'
  • yellowcard Abdel Abqar 36'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 48'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Gonzalo Escalante 31' goal
  • Manu Garcia 52' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Escalante 69' yellowcard
  • Victor Laguardia 80' yellowcard
  • Ruben Duarte 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Jason 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Boulaye Dia 41'
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 47'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 76'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 86'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Dec 21, 2021 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Gerard Moreno 18' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 27' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 76' goal
  • Yeremi Pino 79' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 88' goal
  • goal Pere Pons 44'
  • yellowcard Mamadou N'Diaye 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Javier Calleja 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 49'
  • goal Joselu 65'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joselu 17' goal
  • Manu Garcia 69' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 74' yellowcard
  • Edgar Mendez 80' goal
  • goal Paco Alcacer 50'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Pedraza 63'
La Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
  • Paco Alcacer 13' goal
  • Gerard Moreno 45' goal
  • Paco Alcacer 67' goal
  • goal Edgar Mendez 36'
  • yellowcard Victor Laguardia 74'
  • yellowcard Ximo Navarro 82'
  • redcard 89'