Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla
Villarreal logo

Poblense
1 - 6
Villarreal

Pons Gonalons (67')
J (43'), Soler Femenias (43'), Rigo Fiol (80')
FT(HT: 0-10)
Terrats (10', 10'), Perez (27', 27', 35', 35', 44', 44'), Cabanes De La Torre (38', 38'), Gueye (57')
Yves Valou (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Poblense and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poblense

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Last Game: Poblense 0-5 Mallorca
Wednesday, July 31 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Villarreal

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, October 26 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Poblense had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Poblense win it was 2-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
PoblenseDrawVillarreal
11.29%16.8%71.91%
Both teams to score 51.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.91%37.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.72%59.28%
Poblense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9%43.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.63%79.37%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95%9.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.2%30.8%
Score Analysis
    Poblense 11.29%
    Villarreal 71.91%
    Draw 16.8%
PoblenseDrawVillarreal
2-1 @ 3.32%
1-0 @ 3.28%
2-0 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.12%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 11.29%
1-1 @ 7.89%
2-2 @ 3.99%
0-0 @ 3.9%
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 16.8%
0-2 @ 11.25%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-1 @ 9.37%
0-3 @ 9.01%
1-3 @ 7.59%
0-4 @ 5.41%
1-4 @ 4.56%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-5 @ 2.6%
1-5 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.92%
0-6 @ 1.04%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 71.91%

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