We said: Alaves 0-1 Mallorca
Mallorca have not exactly been free-scoring this season, but they are very strong defensively, and we are expecting the visitors to claim all three points on Friday courtesy of a narrow win, and a victory would move them into fourth spot in the table.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.