Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
| 29.3% ( | 29.91% ( | 40.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.68% ( | 84.32% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( | 39.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( | 76.28% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( | 31.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.9% ( | 68.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-1 @ 1.91% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 29.3% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0-0 @ 12.54% ( 2-2 @ 3.56% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.9% | 0-1 @ 14.42% 0-2 @ 8.29% ( 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.79% |