La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 23, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Alaves

Griezmann (76' pen.), Sorloth (86')
Correa (45+2'), Simeone (87'), Alvarez (90'), De Paul (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guridi (7' pen.)
Blanco (58'), Sanchez (70'), Garcia (75'), Conechny (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, November 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 3-0 Alaves
Saturday, November 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
66.47% ( -0.85)	20.69% ( 0.39)	12.83% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 43.62% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

-0.54)

50.5% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

-0.48)

72.42% (

0.48)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

-0.43)

14.34% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.8% (

-0.84)

42.19% (

0.84)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.92% (

0.43)

49.07% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.99% (

0.31)

84.01% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 66.46%

Alaves 12.83%

Draw 20.69%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.27% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 66.46%	1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.69%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 12.83%