La Liga Gameweek 14
Atletico
Nov 23, 2024 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Alaves
  • Angel Correa 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 76' goal
  • Alexander Sorloth 86' goal
  • Diego Simeone 87' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guridi 7'
  • yellowcard Antonio Blanco 58'
  • yellowcard Manu Sanchez 70'
  • yellowcard Luis Garcia 75'
  • yellowcard Tomas Conechny 88'

Atletico Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 3.15pm
Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Alaves

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.15pm
Villarreal 3 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.27%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 66.47% ▼ (-0.86)
Draw 20.69% ▲ (+0.39)
Alaves 12.83% ▲ (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.62% ▲ (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.49% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 50.5% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 27.57% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 3.5 72.42% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 4.5 13.02% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 4.5 86.97% ▲ (+0.32)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 85.65% ▼ (-0.44)
Under 0.5 14.34% ▲ (+0.44)
Over 1.5 57.8% ▼ (-0.85)
Under 1.5 42.19% ▲ (+0.85)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5 50.92% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 0.5 49.07% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 1.5 15.99% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 84.01% ▼ (-0.32)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 66.46%
Draw 20.69%
Alaves 12.83%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.66% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 13.27% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 8.59% ▼ (-0.22)
3-1 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 66.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 20.69%
Alaves
0-1 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.11)
0-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 12.83%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 32
Alaves
Apr 21, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mendizorroza
Atletico
  • Jon Guridi 2' yellowcard
  • Javi Lopez 6' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 15' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 33' yellowcard
  • Carlos Benavidez 49' yellowcard
  • Rafa Marin 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Rioja 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Angel Correa 45'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 50'
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 68'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Atletico
Oct 29, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Alaves
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 26' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 45'+1' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 71' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Jan Oblak 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Duarte 71'
  • yellowcard Ianis Hagi 85'
  • goal Ander Guevara 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Atletico
Apr 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Alaves
  • Joao Felix 11' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 75' goal
  • Joao Felix 82' goal
  • Luis Suarez 90' goal
  • goal Gonzalo Escalante 63'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Alaves
Sep 25, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Atletico
  • Victor Laguardia 4' goal
  • Mamadou Sylla 31' yellowcard
  • Mamadou N'Diaye 36' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Savic 17'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 53'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 55'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Atletico
Mar 21, 2021 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Alaves
  • Luis Suarez 54' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 76' yellowcard
  • Stefan Savic 85' yellowcard
  • Saul Niguez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Battaglia 88'
La Liga Gameweek 17
Alaves
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Victor Laguardia 63' redcard
  • Felipe 84' goal
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 29'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 41'
  • goal Luis Suarez 90'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 90'+3'

Form Data

Mallorca 0 - 1 Atletico
PSG 1 - 2 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 0 Las Palmas
Vic 0 - 2 Atletico
Betis 1 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 1 - 3 Lille
Villarreal 3 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 1 - 0 Mallorca
Compostela 0 - 1 Alaves
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 Alaves
Alaves 2 - 3 Valladolid
Alaves 0 - 3 Barcelona