La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Iberoamericano 2010
Mallorca0 - 1Atletico
We said: Mallorca 1-1 Atletico Madrid
This is a meeting between the best two defences in La Liga, and we are not expecting many goals this weekend. It would not be a shock to see a 1-0 victory either way, but we just have a feeling that the points will be shared in a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.99% ( 0.02) | 28.16% ( 0.02) | 44.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
