Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.98%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.99% ( | 28.16% ( | 44.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.98% ( | 61.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.99% ( | 81.01% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( | 38.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% | 75.66% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( | 27.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( | 62.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 6.13% ( 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 3-2 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.99% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 13.78% ( 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.85% |