Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 31, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Futbol de Vic
Atletico Madrid logo

Vic
0 - 2
Atletico


Cunill Macia (48'), Senye Palacios (74'), Busquets Sala (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (81' pen., 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Vic and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vic

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Atletico
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 94.06%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Vic had a probability of 1.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.02%) and 0-2 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.18%), while for a Vic win it was 1-0 (0.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
VicDrawAtletico Madrid
1.16% (0.052 0.05)4.78% (0.206 0.21)94.06% (-0.25200000000001 -0.25)
Both teams to score 26.35% (-0.135 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.73% (-0.87100000000001 -0.87)24.27% (0.878 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.04% (-1.164 -1.16)43.95% (1.169 1.17)
Vic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
27.05% (-0.096 -0.1)72.95% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.04% (-0.028 -0.03)95.96% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.41% (-0.142 -0.14)2.59% (0.1481 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.95% (-0.536 -0.54)12.05% (0.542 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Vic 1.16%
    Atletico Madrid 94.04%
    Draw 4.78%
VicDrawAtletico Madrid
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 1.16%
1-1 @ 2.18% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 1.89% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 4.78%
0-3 @ 15.35% (0.18 0.18)
0-4 @ 14.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 12.6% (0.34 0.34)
0-5 @ 10.25% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.297 0.3)
0-6 @ 6.24% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.037 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.093 0.09)
0-7 @ 3.26% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-5 @ 3.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-6 @ 1.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-8 @ 1.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-7 @ 1.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 94.04%