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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
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Warren Zaire-Emery
14'
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Nahuel Molina
18'
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Angel Correa
87'
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Angel Correa
90'+3'
Paris Saint-Germain vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Paris Saint-Germain
53.85%
▲
(+3.79)
Draw
23.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Atletico Madrid
22.88%
▼
(-3.80)
Both Teams to Score:
54.95%
▼
(-4.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.56%
▼
(-3.67)
Under 2.5
45.44%
▲
(+3.67)
Over 3.5
32.23%
▼
(-3.60)
Under 3.5
67.77%
▲
(+3.60)
Over 4.5
16.24%
▼
(-2.65)
Under 4.5
83.76%
▲
(+2.65)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5
83.2%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
16.8%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
53.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
46.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
66.04%
▼
(-5.09)
Under 0.5
33.95%
▲
(+5.09)
Over 1.5
29.37%
▼
(-5.90)
Under 1.5
70.63%
▲
(+5.90)
Score analysis
Paris Saint-Germain
53.85%
Draw
23.27%
Atletico Madrid
22.88%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0
@
10.17%
▲
(+1.52)
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+1.36)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.82)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.39)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.37)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.85%
2-1 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.22)
2-0 @ 9.08% ▲ (+1.36)
3-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.82)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.39)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.37)
4-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.85%
Draw
1-1
@
10.99%
▲
(+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.85)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.67)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.34)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.85)
2-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.67)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.34)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
6.16%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.75)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.63)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.57)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.75)
0-2 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.43)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.63)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.57)
0-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.36)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.88%