MX23RW : Saturday, December 7 11:06:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lens logo

PSG
1 - 0
Lens

Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Lille
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lens

PSG's incapability of keeping a clean sheet at home will give Lens belief that they have a chance, but the scoring record of the league leaders speaks for itself so far, having netted three or more in all of their home games. Despite Lens' excellent defensive record, facing the champions is like no other test in Ligue 1, and manager Still will need to hope his attackers are firing if they are to take anything here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
58.34% (0.148 0.15) 21.49% (-0.108 -0.11) 20.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.02% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (0.45 0.45)40.83% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (0.45999999999999 0.46)63.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.19600000000001 0.2)13.73% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (0.382 0.38)40.99% (-0.38 -0.38)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.22499999999999 0.22)33.91% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.24 0.24)70.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.34%
    Lens 20.17%
    Draw 21.49%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.035 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.17%

How you voted: PSG vs Lens

Paris Saint-Germain
86.0%
Draw
11.6%
Lens
2.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lens
0-2
PSG

Gradit (45+3')
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
PSG
1-1
Lens
Messi (68')
Ramos (54'), Verratti (73'), Marquinhos (78'), Neymar (90')
Jean (88')
Danso (9')
Danso (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1382329171226
3Lille1475224141026
4MonacoMonaco1382322121026
5Lyon136432317622
6Nice135532416820
7Lens135531512320
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims135352018218
10Toulouse135351514118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes134271819-114
13StrasbourgStrasbourg133462227-513
14Angers133461421-713
15Saint-EtienneSt Etienne134181130-1913
16Le HavreLe Havre134091024-1412
17NantesNantes132561520-511
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier132291334-218


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