Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
58.34% ( 0.15) | 21.49% ( -0.11) | 20.17% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.17% ( 0.45) | 40.83% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.27% ( 0.2) | 13.73% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.01% ( 0.38) | 40.99% ( -0.38) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( 0.22) | 33.91% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 22 |
6 | Nice | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 20 |
7 | Lens | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Toulouse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 14 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Angers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 13 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 12 |
17 | NantesNantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |