Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Nov 2, 2024 at 4pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
1 - 0
Lens

Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 0-2 Lille
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
58.34% ( 0.15)	21.49% ( -0.11)	20.17% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.17% (

0.45)

40.83% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

0.46)

63.22% (

-0.46)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

0.2)

13.73% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.01% (

0.38)

40.99% (

-0.38)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.22)

33.91% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.24)

70.58% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 58.34%

Lens 20.17%

Draw 21.49%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Lens
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.34%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49%	1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.17%