Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
0 - 3
PSG

Hojbjerg (18')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Neves (7'), Balerdi (29' og.), Barcola (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Last Game: Montpellier 0-5 Marseille
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
39.57% ( -0.89)	23.29% ( -0)	37.13% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 64.16% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.63% (

0.12)

37.37% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.41% (

0.13)

59.59% (

-0.13)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

-0.35)

19.33% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.9% (

-0.57)

51.1% (

0.57)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.53% (

0.49)

20.47% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.06% (

0.77)

52.94% (

-0.78)

Score Analysis

Marseille 39.57%

Paris Saint-Germain 37.13%

Draw 23.29%

Marseille	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.37% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.29%	1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.13%