Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 18' yellowcard
  • Amine Harit 20' redcard
  • goal Joao Neves 7'
  • goal Leonardo Balerdi 29' (OG)
  • goal Bradley Barcola 40'

Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2024 7.45pm
Montpellier 0 - 5 Marseille
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 8.00pm
PSG 4 - 2 Strasbourg
Goals scored
92
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembele

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result

Marseille 39.57% (-0.90)
Draw 23.29% (-0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain 37.13% (+0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.16% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.63% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 37.37% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 40.41% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 59.59% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 22.47% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 77.53% (-0.11)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 80.67% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 19.33% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 48.9% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 51.1% (+0.57)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 79.53% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 20.47% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 47.06% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 52.94% (-0.78)

Score analysis

Marseille 39.57%
Draw 23.29%
Paris Saint-Germain 37.13%
Marseille
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.34% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 39.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.96% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.29%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.18% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.28% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.98% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.33% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 3.56% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 1.72% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.41% (+0.05)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-97.76)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • yellowcard Lucas Beraldo 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Danilo Pereira 40'
  • redcard Lucas Beraldo 40'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 45'
  • goal Vitinha 53'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Municipal Georges Lefevre
  • Achraf Hakimi 8' goal
  • Randal Kolo 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 47' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 89' goal
  • yellowcard Samuel Gigot 73'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 82'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 85'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Feb 26, 2023 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 25'
  • goal Lionel Messi 29'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 55'
Coupe de France
Feb 8, 2023 8.10pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Alexis Sanchez 31' goal
  • Ruslan Malinovskyi 57' goal
  • goal Sergio Ramos 45'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Neymar 45'+1' goal
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 17, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Neymar 12' goal
  • Marco Verratti 17' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 37' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 46' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 45'+4' goal
  • Neymar 55' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gerson 21'
  • goal Duje Caleta-Car 31'