Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.