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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Angers

Marseille
1 - 1
Angers

Rowe (51')
Maupay (27'), Balerdi (31'), Carboni (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Melali (54')
Rao-Lisoa (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Angers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, September 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Reims
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
MarseilleDrawAngers
64.19% (4.052 4.05)20.21% (-1.402 -1.4)15.6% (-2.649 -2.65)
Both teams to score 52.2% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23% (1.552 1.55)42.77% (-1.553 -1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83% (1.524 1.52)65.17% (-1.526 -1.53)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (1.699 1.7)12.61% (-1.7 -1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (3.409 3.41)38.73% (-3.41 -3.41)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.74% (-2.282 -2.28)40.26% (2.281 2.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.11% (-2.141 -2.14)76.89% (2.14 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 64.18%
    Angers 15.6%
    Draw 20.21%
MarseilleDrawAngers
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.51% (0.855 0.86)
3-1 @ 6.83% (0.39 0.39)
4-0 @ 3.89% (0.653 0.65)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.405 0.41)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.352 0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.093 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 64.18%
1-1 @ 9.57% (-0.664 -0.66)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.358 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.643 -0.64)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.601 -0.6)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 15.6%

How you voted: Marseille vs Angers

Marseille
89.4%
Draw
7.1%
Angers
3.5%
113
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Marseille
3-1
Angers
Sanchez (34'), Payet (48'), Veretout (77' pen.)
Sima (28')
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Angers
0-3
Marseille
Clauss (35'), Suarez Charris (50'), Gerson (59')
Feb 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Marseille
5-2
Angers
Milik (18', 70', 78'), Gerson (21'), Under (85')
Fulgini (8'), Bentaleb (11')
Cabot (53'), Mendy (76'), Bentaleb (90')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 7
Angers
0-0
Marseille
Ounahi (44')
Caleta-Car (52'), Balerdi (59'), Harit (65')
May 16, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 37
Marseille
3-2
Angers
Milik (9', 48', 90+4' pen.)
Rongier (22'), Milik (37'), Sampaoli (87'), Gonzalez (87')
Sampaoli (89')
Pereira Lage (57'), Thomas (85')
Pereira Lage (62'), Thomas (90+2')
rhs 2.0


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