Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Oct 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
0 - 2
Lens

Amougou (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frankowski (20'), Labeau (79')
Medina (31'), N'Zola (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 3-1 Auxerre
Saturday, October 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
32.51% ( -0)	26.09% ( 0.05)	41.4% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.84% (

-0.23)

51.16% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.99% (

-0.2)

73% (

0.2)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

-0.12)

29.57% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

-0.14)

65.6% (

0.14)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56% (

-0.13)

24.44% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.12% (

-0.18)

58.87% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 32.51%

Lens 41.39%

Draw 26.08%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.51%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.39%