Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.