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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Lille

Lens
0 - 2
Lille


Thomasson (13'), Tony Pouilly (65'), Gradit (86'), N'Zola (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (90+8' pen.), Bayo (90+11')
Gudmundsson (20'), Meunier (75'), Mandi (89'), David (90+2'), David (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Lens
Saturday, October 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Atletico 1-3 Lille
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
47.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)25.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)26.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)52.4% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)74.08% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.02% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)55.34% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 47.6%
    Lille 26.67%
    Draw 25.73%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
33.0%
Draw
30.9%
Lille
36.1%
97
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
2-1
Lens
Zhegrova (9', 60')
Andre (52'), Zhegrova (64'), Bentaleb (88')
Wahi (78')
Medina (35'), Wahi (64'), Costa (88')
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')