La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 3, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 0
Las Palmas

Simeone (37'), Sorloth (84')
Lenglet (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rozada (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Vic 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ontinena 0-7 Las Palmas
Thursday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Las Palmas
59.4% ( -0.38)	21.24% ( 0.04)	19.36% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

0.31)

40.9% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

0.32)

63.29% (

-0.32)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57% (

-0.01)

13.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.6% (

-0.03)

40.39% (

0.03)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

0.53)

34.78% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

0.56)

71.51% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 59.4%

Las Palmas 19.36%

Draw 21.24%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Las Palmas
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.4%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.24%	1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.36%