Copa del Rey | First Round
Oct 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Isidro Calderon
Las Palmas

Ontinena
0 - 7
Las Palmas


Bah Bah (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mata (19', 68', 85', 88'), Cardona (74'), Herzog (77'), Fuster (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Ontinena and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ontinena

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Las Palmas

All competitions
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Girona
Saturday, October 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.6% and a win for Ontinena had a probability of 1.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-4 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.23%) and 0-5 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.16%), while for a Ontinena win it was 2-1 (0.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.

Result
OntinenaDrawLas Palmas
1.68% (-0.037 -0.04)4.65% (-0.089 -0.09)93.67% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 40.59% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
83.86% (0.24799999999999 0.25)16.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
67.62% (0.38200000000001 0.38)32.38% (-0.384 -0.38)
Ontinena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.29% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)58.7% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)89.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.3% (0.039000000000001 0.04)1.69% (-0.0431 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
91.4% (0.16800000000001 0.17)8.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Ontinena 1.68%
    Las Palmas 93.66%
    Draw 4.65%
OntinenaDrawLas Palmas
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 1.68%
1-1 @ 2.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 1.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 4.65%
0-4 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-5 @ 9.35% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
0-6 @ 6.36% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 4.98% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-7 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
1-6 @ 3.39% (0.036 0.04)
1-7 @ 1.97% (0.032 0.03)
0-8 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
1-8 @ 1.01% (0.022 0.02)
2-6 @ 0.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 93.66%