Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 31.43% ( | 29.23% ( | 39.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37% ( | 63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.53% ( | 82.47% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( | 36.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.72% ( | 73.28% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.79% ( | 31.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.45% ( | 67.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-1 @ 2.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 3.92% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.22% | 0-1 @ 13.26% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 7.72% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 3% ( 2-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.34% |