Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.41%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 29.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.