Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 28.85% ( | 27.81% ( | 43.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.99% ( | 59.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.52% ( | 79.47% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( | 36.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( | 73.08% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( | 27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 2-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 3-2 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.31% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.34% |