Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.