Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Mallorca |
| 31.15% ( | 27.86% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.61% ( | 58.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21% ( | 79% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( | 70.91% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( | 27.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.47% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 12.19% 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 40.98% |