Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.