Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 2-1 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
| 38.11% ( | 30.61% ( | 31.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.78% ( | 67.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.58% ( | 85.41% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( | 34.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( | 70.87% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( | 38.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( | 75.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 14.29% ( 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 13.31% ( 2-2 @ 3.41% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.6% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 1-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 2-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 31.28% |