Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.57%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca |
| 28.36% ( | 28.14% ( | 43.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% ( | 60.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% ( | 80.49% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.81% ( | 74.19% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.36% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.14% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 43.5% |