Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 47.71% ( | 26.28% ( | 26.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( | 54.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( | 76.22% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( | 23.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( | 56.86% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( | 36.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( | 73.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 2-2 @ 4.61% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.01% |