Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
40.7% ( -0.57) | 27.84% ( 0.12) | 31.47% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.76% ( -0.32) | 58.24% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.12% ( -0.25) | 78.88% ( 0.26) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.93% ( -0.46) | 28.07% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( -0.59) | 63.74% ( 0.6) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.09% ( 0.16) | 33.91% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.42% ( 0.17) | 70.59% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |