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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Celta Vigo logo

Espanyol
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Cardona (40'), Cabrera (53'), Cheddira (87')
Kumbulla (55'), Garcia (86'), Gonzalez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aspas (83' pen.)
Alonso (35'), Alvarez (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, November 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-2 Celta Vigo

Celta have only won once on their travels in La Liga this term, but the Sky Blues have so much talent in the final third of the field, and we are backing them to record a narrow win over an out-of-form Espanyol outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
40.7% (-0.568 -0.57) 27.84% (0.124 0.12) 31.47% (0.451 0.45)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76% (-0.318 -0.32)58.24% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12% (-0.249 -0.25)78.88% (0.256 0.26)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)28.07% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.595 -0.59)63.74% (0.6 0.6)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.16 0.16)33.91% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.17 0.17)70.59% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 40.69%
    Celta Vigo 31.46%
    Draw 27.83%
EspanyolDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 40.69%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.52% (0.115 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.46%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Celta Vigo

Espanyol
30.3%
Draw
19.2%
Celta Vigo
50.5%
99
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Espanyol
1-3
Celta Vigo
Gragera (86')
Veiga (26'), Aspas (45' pen.), Perez (82')
Jan 3, 2023 6pm
Round of 32
Espanyol
3-1
Celta Vigo
Puado (53'), Darder (97'), Nico (118')
Paciencia (15')
Aug 13, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 1
Celta Vigo
2-2
Espanyol
Aspas (45+2'), Paciencia (63')
Mallo (15'), Aidoo (37'), Aspas (80'), Galan (90+2'), Marchesin (90+5')
Exposito (72'), Joselu (90+8' pen.)
Souza (60'), Gil (90+1')
Apr 10, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 31
Espanyol
1-0
Celta Vigo
Lei (89')
Herrera (43'), Calero (45'), Bare (55'), Vilhena (81')

Vazquez (77')
Dec 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 18
Celta Vigo
3-1
Espanyol
Mina (3'), Aspas (47'), Suarez (82')
Mina (89'), Mallo (90+1')
Moron (90+2')
Vila (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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