Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 60.87% ( | 20.78% ( | 18.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.62% ( | 40.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.24% ( | 62.75% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( | 12.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( | 39.17% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( | 35.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.69% ( | 72.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 5-0 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0-0 @ 4.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.35% |