La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
3 - 1
Espanyol

Olmo (12', 31'), Raphinha (23')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Puado (63')
Carreras (11'), Bauza Sureda (54'), Gonzalez (74'), Cheddira (81')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: San Tirso 0-4 Espanyol
Thursday, October 31 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Espanyol
67.02% ( -1.15)	16.94% ( 0.16)	16.04% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 66.01% (

1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.23% (

1.36)

25.77% (

-1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.09% (

1.74)

45.91% (

-1.74)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78% (

0.12)

7.23% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.79% (

0.32)

26.21% (

-0.32)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

2.05)

28.85% (

-2.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

2.47)

64.72% (

-2.47)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 67.02%

Espanyol 16.04%

Draw 16.94%

Barcelona	Draw	Espanyol
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.54) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.43) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.45) 4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.14) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.88% Total : 67.02%	1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.47% Total : 16.94%	1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.56% Total : 16.04%