Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.