La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 13, 2025 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 0
Villarreal

Kubo (51')
Aramburu (70'), Munoz (90+5'), Barrenetxea (90+2'), Zubimendi (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baena (65'), Foyth (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ponferradina 0-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 5 at 2.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Leganes 2-5 Villarreal
Sunday, December 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Villarreal
43.3% ( 0.14)	26.04% ( 0.18)	30.65% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 52.63% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.42% (

-0.86)

51.58% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

-0.75)

73.38% (

0.75)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.31)

23.67% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22% (

-0.45)

57.78% (

0.45)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.95% (

-0.65)

31.05% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

-0.77)

67.37% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 43.3%

Villarreal 30.65%

Draw 26.04%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.3%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.65%