Copa del Rey
Jan 5, 2025 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Toralin
  • Javier Rodriguez Lancho 45' yellowcard
  • goal Mikel Oyarzabal 54'
  • goal Brais Mendez 69'

Ponferradina vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result

Ponferradina 27.36% (+0.14)
Draw 29.51% (-0.02)
Real Sociedad 43.14% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.33% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.93% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 65.07% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 16.06% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 83.94% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 6.17% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 93.83% (-0.03)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 59.09% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 40.91% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 22.52% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 77.48% (-0.15)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 69.95% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.05% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 33.82% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.18% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Ponferradina 27.35%
Draw 29.5%
Real Sociedad 43.13%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 27.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.21% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 12.29% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.5%
Real Sociedad
0-1 @ 14.78% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 8.89% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.13%