Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Ponferradina	Draw	Real Sociedad
27.36% ( 0.13)	29.51% ( -0.01)	43.14% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 41.33% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.93% (

0.09)

65.07% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.06% (

0.07)

83.94% (

-0.06)

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

0.17)

40.91% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

0.15)

77.48% (

-0.14)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.02)

30.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.02)

66.18% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Ponferradina 27.35%

Real Sociedad 43.13%

Draw 29.5%

Ponferradina	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.28% Total : 27.35%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.5%	0-1 @ 14.78% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.13%