Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
El Molinón

Sporting Gijon
1 - 4
Ponferradina

Otero (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miguel (12' og.), Garcia (57'), de Souza (70'), Castellano (82')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Sporting Gijon and Ponferradina.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Eibar 2-2 Sporting Gijon
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Ponferradina

All competitions
Last Game: Ponferradina 1-1 Albacete
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Sporting GijonDrawPonferradina
51.47% (0.021999999999998 0.02)27.25% (0.09 0.09)21.28% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 41.74% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.15% (-0.374 -0.37)61.85% (0.379 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38% (-0.276 -0.28)81.62% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.154 -0.15)24.32% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.222 -0.22)58.7% (0.227 0.23)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.337 -0.34)44.85% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.271 -0.27)80.81% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Gijon 51.47%
    Ponferradina 21.28%
    Draw 27.24%
Sporting GijonDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 15.42% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 10.9% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 10.9% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 8.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.28%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Ponferradina
1-3
Sporting Gijon
Medina (70')
Espiau (6'), Tavares (61'), Nwakali (76'), Dieguez (85'), Lukaku (90')
Otero (19'), Gragera (24'), Zarfino (90+3')
Feb 20, 2022 5.15pm
gameweek 28
Sporting Gijon
2-3
Ponferradina
Luis Rodriguez (48', 51')
Durdevic (25'), Villalba (72'), Rivera (79')
Rivera (17' og.), Espiau (38'), Naranjo (85')
Amo (32'), Moran (47'), Pascanu (61')
Nov 21, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 17
Ponferradina
4-1
Sporting Gijon
Enrich (11'), De Souza (31'), Ojeda (36'), Copete (52')
Medina (5'), Copete (41')
Mendez (49')
Villalba (31'), Gragera (76')
Mar 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 28
Ponferradina
2-2
Sporting Gijon
Curro (52'), Valcarce (54')
Antonio Caro (37'), Garcia (73'), Valcarce (90+2')
Diaz (39' pen.), Perez (47')
Perez (42'), Babin (76')
Oct 25, 2020 3pm
gameweek 8
Sporting Gijon
2-1
Ponferradina
Garcia (67'), Vazquez (87')
Rosas (26'), Diaz (89')
Aizpuru (18')
Magagi (13'), Moran (37')